BAER Definitions used in Values-at-Risk Matrix The following information are Burned Area Emergency Response (BAER) definitions used by the BAER team for the values-at-risk (VAR) Matrix (see separate article and posted PDF document for the VAR Risk Level Matrix) when assessing the risk level for each identified value-at-risk having the potential for increased run-off and soil erosion following a wildfire. Probability of Damage or Loss: Use the following as a framework to estimate the relative probability that damage or loss would occur within one to three years (depending on the resource): Very likely - nearly certain occurrence (>90%) Likely - likely occurrence (>50% to Possible - possible occurrence (>10% to Unlikely - unlikely occurrence ( Magnitude of Consequences: Major - Loss of life or injury to humans; substantial property damage; irreversible damage to critical natural or cultural resources. Moderate - Injury or illness to humans; moderate property damage; damage to...